Twins Complete Stunning Comeback to Defeat Red Sox 8-6 at Fenway — Down Four After Four Innings, Rally with Four-Run Seventh to Seal Victory

Game Turnaround

The Twins fell behind early. Starting pitcher Connor Prielipp was battered by the Red Sox in the first inning, allowing four runs: Wilyer Abreu drove in one with a double, Willson Contreras followed with his 1,000th career hit—a triple off the left field Green Monster—Andruw Monasterio added an RBI single, and Marcelo Mayer scored another run on a sacrifice fly. Prielipp lasted only four innings, surrendering six runs total.

The turning point came in the seventh inning. Red Sox reliever Justin Slaten took the mound, riding a streak of 15 consecutive appearances without allowing a run (dating back to September 2025). But Byron Buxton and Austin Martin each launched two-run home runs, accounting for four runs in the frame and completing the Twins' reversal. Reliever Travis Adams worked two scoreless innings to earn the win, with Anthony Banda recording the save.

The Twins' offense built momentum gradually—in the previous inning, Ryan Kreidler's double, plus RBI singles from Luke Keaschall and Buxton had tightened the score, setting the stage for the seventh-inning explosion.

Who Called It Right

Polymarket's pre-game odds told the story: Red Sox at 98% win probability, Twins at just 3%—the market overwhelmingly favored the home team.

This was a textbook black swan reversal. Despite the Red Sox's pitching advantage and Fenway's home-field edge, the Twins delivered a low-probability shock that left the majority of bettors empty-handed. For the Over/Under, the combined score of 14 runs (8+6) crossed the threshold, making Over bettors—who held 56% of the action—narrow winners.

Slaten's 15-game scoreless streak had likely inflated market confidence in the Red Sox bullpen among analysts. The lesson: even the most reliable data can be undone by a single swing.

What's Next

The Twins' road miracle should fuel momentum heading forward. The series between the two teams is ongoing (ESPN data shows another Twins 6-5 win on May 24), making it worth monitoring whether Minnesota can sustain this energy back at home in Minneapolis. Buxton's consecutive-game home run display will be a key indicator for the market's next round of positioning.