Arizona Cardinals30
San Francisco 49ers36📍 場館
Levi's Stadium · Santa Clara
Final
3Q Spread: 49ers (-9.5)
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 39.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 34.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 1Q O/U 5.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 1Q O/U 7.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 2Q O/U 6.5
2H Spread: 49ers (-21.5)
4Q Spread: 49ers (-14.5)
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 30.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 1H O/U 16.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 2H O/U 28.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 2Q O/U 7.5
1Q Spread: 49ers (-6.5)
2Q Spread: Cardinals (-13.5)
2Q Spread: 49ers (-6.5)
3Q Spread: 49ers (-6.5)
4Q Spread: Cardinals (-6.5)
4Q Spread: 49ers (-13.5)
2H Spread: 49ers (-14.5)
2Q Spread: Cardinals (-7.5)
3Q Spread: Cardinals (-7.5)
3Q Spread: Cardinals (-14.5)
3Q Spread: 49ers (-7.5)
4Q Spread: Cardinals (-7.5)
4Q Spread: 49ers (-7.5)
4Q Spread: 49ers (-3.5)
4Q Spread: 49ers (-9.5)
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 26.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 2Q O/U 13.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 3Q O/U 7.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 4Q O/U 6.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 4Q O/U 14.5
4Q Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
4Q Spread: 49ers (-10.5)
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 28.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 36.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 62.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 2Q O/U 5.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 3Q O/U 10.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 4Q O/U 7.5
Cardinals Team Total: O/U 30.5
49ers Team Total: O/U 16.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 24.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 58.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 1Q O/U 13.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 3Q O/U 6.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 4Q O/U 5.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 4Q O/U 13.5
Cardinals Team Total: O/U 16.5
49ers Team Total: O/U 12.5
49ers Team Total: O/U 20.5
49ers Team Total: O/U 34.5
Cardinals 1H Team Total: O/U 13.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 3Q O/U 13.5
Cardinals Team Total: O/U 34.5
Cardinals Team Total: O/U 27.5
49ers Team Total: O/U 23.5
Cardinals 1H Team Total: O/U 16.5
1Q Spread: 49ers (-14.5)
2Q Spread: 49ers (-2.5)
2Q Spread: 49ers (-9.5)
3Q Spread: Cardinals (-10.5)
3Q Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
3Q Spread: 49ers (-13.5)
4Q Spread: Cardinals (-14.5)
2H Spread: Cardinals (-20.5)
2H Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
2H Spread: 49ers (-17.5)
1Q Spread: Cardinals (-13.5)
2Q Spread: Cardinals (-4.5)
3Q Spread: 49ers (-2.5)
4Q Spread: Cardinals (-3.5)
4Q Spread: Cardinals (-10.5)
2H Spread: 49ers (-8.5)
2H Spread: 49ers (-16.5)
1Q Spread: Cardinals (-10.5)
2Q Spread: Cardinals (-3.5)
4Q Spread: Cardinals (-2.5)
4Q Spread: Cardinals (-9.5)
1Q Spread: Cardinals (-14.5)
2Q Spread: Cardinals (-2.5)
2Q Spread: Cardinals (-9.5)
2Q Spread: 49ers (-3.5)
2Q Spread: 49ers (-10.5)
3Q Spread: Cardinals (-4.5)
3Q Spread: Cardinals (-13.5)
3Q Spread: 49ers (-14.5)
2H Spread: 49ers (-3.5)
2H Spread: 49ers (-10.5)
1Q Spread: 49ers (-3.5)
2Q Spread: 49ers (-14.5)
Cardinals Team Total: O/U 10.5
49ers Team Total: O/U 19.5
49ers Team Total: O/U 30.5
Cardinals Team Total: O/U 23.5
49ers Team Total: O/U 10.5
Cardinals 1H Team Total: O/U 6.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 3Q O/U 5.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 3Q O/U 14.5
49ers Team Total: O/U 13.5
Cardinals 1H Team Total: O/U 10.5
Cardinals 1H Team Total: O/U 12.5
49ers Team Total: O/U 27.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 33.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 42.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 27.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 37.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 2H Moneyline
Exact Margin: Cardinals by 1-6
Exact Margin: 49ers by 21+
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 67.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q
Cardinals vs. 49ers: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 31.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 29.5
Exact Margin: Cardinals by 13-18
Exact Margin: Cardinals by 7-12
Exact Margin: Cardinals by 25+
Exact Margin: 49ers by 14-20
Exact Margin: Cardinals by 19-24
Exact Margin: 49ers by 1-6
Cardinals vs. 49ers: Team to Record Longest FG
Exact Margin: 49ers by 7-13
Cardinals vs. 49ers: Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q
49ers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: Safety?
Cardinals vs. 49ers: Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 1Q Moneyline
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 43.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 1H Moneyline
49ers Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.5
Cardinals Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 3Q Moneyline
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 2Q Moneyline
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 4Q Moneyline
Spread: Cardinals (-2.5)
Spread: Cardinals (-8.5)
Spread: 49ers (-1.5)
1H Spread: Cardinals (-2.5)
1H Spread: Cardinals (-4.5)
Spread: Cardinals (-16.5)
1H Spread: Cardinals (-5.5)
Spread: Cardinals (-17.5)
Spread: 49ers (-19.5)
Spread: Cardinals (-7.5)
Spread: Cardinals (-14.5)
Spread: Cardinals (-21.5)
1H Spread: Cardinals (-1.5)
1H Spread: Cardinals (-3.5)
1H Spread: Cardinals (-6.5)
1Q Spread: Cardinals (-2.5)
1Q Spread: Cardinals (-6.5)
1Q Spread: Cardinals (-3.5)
1Q Spread: Cardinals (-4.5)
1Q Spread: Cardinals (-7.5)
1Q Spread: Cardinals (-9.5)
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 1H O/U 19.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 2H O/U 19.5
Cardinals 1H Team Total: O/U 17.5
49ers 1H Team Total: O/U 6.5
49ers 1H Team Total: O/U 12.5
49ers 1H Team Total: O/U 17.5
Cardinals 2H Team Total: O/U 12.5
Cardinals 2H Team Total: O/U 16.5
Cardinals 2H Team Total: O/U 20.5
49ers 2H Team Total: O/U 16.5
49ers 2H Team Total: O/U 19.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 1H O/U 22.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 2H O/U 22.5
Cardinals 1H Team Total: O/U 19.5
Cardinals 2H Team Total: O/U 17.5
49ers 2H Team Total: O/U 20.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 1H O/U 25.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 2H O/U 16.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 2H O/U 25.5
Cardinals 1H Team Total: O/U 20.5
49ers 1H Team Total: O/U 10.5
49ers 1H Team Total: O/U 16.5
49ers 1H Team Total: O/U 19.5
Cardinals 2H Team Total: O/U 10.5
Cardinals 2H Team Total: O/U 13.5
Cardinals 2H Team Total: O/U 19.5
49ers 2H Team Total: O/U 6.5
49ers 2H Team Total: O/U 13.5
49ers 2H Team Total: O/U 17.5
49ers 1H Team Total: O/U 20.5
49ers 2H Team Total: O/U 10.5
Cardinals 2H Team Total: O/U 6.5
49ers 2H Team Total: O/U 12.5
Spread: Cardinals (-4.5)
2H Spread: 49ers (-20.5)
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 64.5
2H Spread: Cardinals (-5.5)
2H Spread: Cardinals (-9.5)
2H Spread: Cardinals (-6.5)
2H Spread: Cardinals (-8.5)
2H Spread: Cardinals (-7.5)
2H Spread: Cardinals (-3.5)
3Q Spread: Cardinals (-3.5)
3Q Spread: Cardinals (-2.5)
Cardinals Team Total: O/U 12.5
Cardinals Team Total: O/U 13.5
1H Spread: Cardinals (-17.5)
1H Spread: Cardinals (-20.5)
1H Spread: Cardinals (-21.5)
1H Spread: 49ers (-1.5)
1H Spread: 49ers (-9.5)
1H Spread: 49ers (-17.5)
1H Spread: 49ers (-5.5)
1H Spread: 49ers (-20.5)
1H Spread: 49ers (-21.5)
2H Spread: Cardinals (-1.5)
1H Spread: 49ers (-8.5)
1H Spread: 49ers (-16.5)
2H Spread: Cardinals (-2.5)
Cardinals vs. 49ers: Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 63.5
1H Spread: Cardinals (-13.5)
2H Spread: Cardinals (-17.5)
1H Spread: Cardinals (-9.5)
2H Spread: Cardinals (-14.5)
2H Spread: 49ers (-1.5)
1H Spread: Cardinals (-8.5)
1H Spread: Cardinals (-16.5)
2H Spread: Cardinals (-13.5)
2H Spread: Cardinals (-21.5)
2H Spread: 49ers (-5.5)
2H Spread: 49ers (-6.5)
2H Spread: 49ers (-13.5)
1H Spread: Cardinals (-7.5)
1H Spread: Cardinals (-14.5)
2H Spread: Cardinals (-10.5)
Cardinals Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5
1H Spread: Cardinals (-10.5)
2H Spread: Cardinals (-16.5)
2H Spread: 49ers (-2.5)
2H Spread: 49ers (-7.5)
1Q Spread: 49ers (-7.5)
1Q Spread: 49ers (-9.5)
2Q Spread: Cardinals (-10.5)
2Q Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
2Q Spread: 49ers (-13.5)
3Q Spread: Cardinals (-6.5)
1Q Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
1Q Spread: 49ers (-13.5)
2Q Spread: Cardinals (-6.5)
2Q Spread: Cardinals (-14.5)
2Q Spread: 49ers (-7.5)
3Q Spread: Cardinals (-9.5)
3Q Spread: 49ers (-3.5)
3Q Spread: 49ers (-10.5)
4Q Spread: Cardinals (-4.5)
4Q Spread: Cardinals (-13.5)
4Q Spread: 49ers (-6.5)
Spread: 49ers (-7.5)
Cardinals vs. 49ers
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 48.5
Spread: 49ers (-14.5)
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 47.5
Spread: 49ers (-8.5)
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)
Spread: 49ers (-6.5)
Spread: 49ers (-9.5)
Cardinals Team Total: O/U 19.5
Spread: 49ers (-5.5)
Spread: 49ers (-10.5)
Spread: Cardinals (-6.5)
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 41.5
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
Spread: Cardinals (-9.5)
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 49.5
Spread: 49ers (-13.5)
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 45.5
Spread: 49ers (-17.5)
Spread: 49ers (-20.5)
Spread: 49ers (-16.5)
Spread: 49ers (-2.5)
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 56.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 50.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 51.5
1H Spread: 49ers (-14.5)
Spread: Cardinals (-3.5)
49ers Team Total: O/U 26.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 65.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 55.5
1H Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
Spread: Cardinals (-10.5)
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 46.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 59.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 2Q O/U 14.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 44.5
Cardinals Team Total: O/U 20.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 1Q O/U 14.5
1H Spread: 49ers (-6.5)
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 32.5
1Q Spread: 49ers (-2.5)
Cardinals Team Total: O/U 26.5
Spread: Cardinals (-13.5)
1H Spread: 49ers (-7.5)
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 40.5
1H Spread: 49ers (-13.5)
49ers 1H Team Total: O/U 13.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 60.5
Spread: 49ers (-12.5)
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 35.5
4Q Spread: 49ers (-2.5)
Exact Margin: Tie
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 54.5
Spread: 49ers (-21.5)
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 57.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 61.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 1H O/U 28.5
1Q Spread: 49ers (-10.5)
1H Spread: 49ers (-3.5)
1H Spread: 49ers (-10.5)
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 2Q O/U 10.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 4Q O/U 10.5
2H Spread: Cardinals (-4.5)
Spread: Cardinals (-20.5)
Spread: Cardinals (-19.5)
1H Spread: 49ers (-2.5)
2H Spread: 49ers (-9.5)
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 53.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 38.5
Spread: Cardinals (-1.5)
Spread: 49ers (-11.5)
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 1Q O/U 10.5
Cardinals vs. 49ers: 1Q O/U 6.5
Spread: Cardinals (-5.5)
·
Dallas Cowboys 在第二節末的市場勝率已經跌至 13%,Arizona Cardinals 的奪勝機率則高達 87%。這個 18 分的上半場落後不僅反映在計分板上,更被資訊市場迅速消化——群眾預測已經將紅雀隊的場面優勢完全定價,Cowboys 翻盤的空間被壓縮至最小。

St. Louis Cardinals 以 12:3 大勝 Philadelphia Phillies,賽前市場給了 Cardinals 83% 的勝率,但比分的懸殊程度卻遠超預期——這不只是一場「應該贏的球隊贏了」的故事,而是市場低估了 Cardinals 進攻火力在主要投手日期的威力。

Cincinnati Reds 以 3:0 完封 St. Louis Cardinals,這場 8 月中旬的分區對戰在市場機率層面傳遞了一個明確訊號:Reds 的季末奪冠機率正在上修。

Cardinals 以 35% 賽前機率客場 6:5 險勝 Reds,而資訊市場預測 Reds 主場勝率高達 66%——31 個百分點的落差在一分決勝負中完全瓦解,揭露了市場在這場對陣中對主隊打線與先發投手的系統性過評。
San Francisco 49ers 中場領先 Tennessee Titans 13-7 後,資訊市場的主隊勝率從開局 50% 上修至 57%,但 7 個百分點的漲幅遠低於一般領先 6 分 (接近一次達陣) 所反映的信心水位。這個相對保守的機率上修隱含市場看到了下半場的兩個潛在風險。
中場休息時 Raiders 以 21-14 領先 Arizona Cardinals,資訊市場對 Raiders 勝率的即時評估已上修至 63%,這波來自十多個百分點的單半行情隱含市場對 Raiders 防線壓制力道與 Cardinals 進攻系統性失誤的共識。
Colorado Rockies 在 St. Louis 主場以 3:2 擊敗 Cardinals,這場客場之役暴露了資訊市場對山區球隊輪轉適應能力的系統性低估。賽前市場對客隊的勝率預期,與最終的冷門結果之間存在清晰的定價裂隙——特別是在牛棚輪替與高海拔體質的交互作用上。
Toronto Blue Jays 於 8 月 1 日主場以 5:1 完勝 St. Louis Cardinals,但賽前資訊市場給的勝率僅 50%,這次懸殊的比分反差暴露了市場對主場防線和客隊攻防的系統性低估。
St. Louis Cardinals 以 10:2 的懸殊比分重挫 Chicago Cubs,儘管 Polymarket 在賽前給了 Cardinals 55% 的勝率機率,卻未能預測這場比賽會淪為完全的一邊倒局面。8 分的最終差距遠超市場對比賽走勢的預期。
Cardinals 5:3 擊敗 Reds,賽前資訊市場給予前 5 局勝利 95% 的機率,最終結果完全驗證了市場判斷。這場比賽中,市場參與者的評估精準度幾乎沒有出錯,Reds 的 5% 反向訊號未能轉化為賽場現實,暴露了球隊短期內難以追趕先發投手質量的困境。
Cardinals 5:4 客場落敗 Diamondbacks,賽前 51% 的 Cardinals 勝率預期與主客勢力差距間,隱藏著市場定價不足的信號。
St. Louis Cardinals 在 Twins 主場以 9:8 驚險擊敗對手,但賽前資訊市場給予 Cardinals 僅 17% 的勝率——這意味著市場對主隊的信心有多高。這場賽後複盤揭露,市場的信心差估錯在哪裡,以及客隊為何能在被看衰 5 倍的局面下翻盤。